All posts by Workers BushTelegraph

Workers BushTelegraph discusses current and past events, books and film with the aim of sharing worker political education and consciousness. WBT poses 3 questions: who owns the land, workers control of production and democratic rights.

‘Soldier, we love you’

Welcome to the Paradigm Shift on FM 102.1 4ZZZ Fridays at noon. We challenge the assumptions of our current society, to resist oppression … November 27, 2020

Following on from allegations of war crimes by Australian troops in Afghanistan Ian Interviews:

Senator Jordan Steele-Young, Greens Spokesperson for Peace, Disarmament and Veterans’ Affairs; and,

Former diplomat, Alison Broinowski (War Powers Reform ) who is part of a people’s inquiry for an Independent and Peaceful Australia

Podcast of show:

Broadcast on PShift (4ZZZ fm102.1) on 27 Nov 2020.
Image: Protestors in Roma Street Forum (Emma Miller place) during Anti-Iraq war rally Roma Street Brisbane February 16, 2003. Photo held by John Oxley Library, State Library of Queensland. Over 100,000 people attended (not all shown here).

Playlist
Peter Hunt – Carry Me
Rita Martinson – Soldier, we love you

The road that was murdered

Remember how a few years ago, with support from both Labor and the LNP, Brisbane City Council forced dozens of people out of their homes and acquired their land to facilitate the unnecessary and ill-advised widening of Lytton Rd in East Brisbane?

Brisbane City Hall 1960s

Well today, BCC is voting on a motion to sell the remnant land back to private developers. The areas of vacant land circled in red will be sold off to the private sector, and are zoned for height limits up to 3 storeys.

I think it would be much better to retain public ownership of this land, preserving some of it as green space for a wildlife corridor, and using some of it for public housing for people on lower incomes.

Governments are always telling us that they’d like to provide more inner-city public housing but there’s no land available. Well here’s a location that’s close to public transport and a bikeway, where council already owns the land.

Considering how many low-income residents were forced out of this neighbourhood to make room for the road-widening, it would be great if some of this land could be repurposed as non-profit housing for more low-income residents…

Jonathan Sri
Councillor for the Gabba
25 Nov 2020

Big boys rules in Afghanistan

 “If we want things to stay as they are, things will have to change” – Giuseppe Di Lampedusa, The Leopard

We talk about the Brereton report (released yesterday) into war crimes committed by Australian SAS troops in Afghanistan. We interview academic John Blaxland about the report and Mark Davis, lawyer for prosecuted SAS whistleblower David McBride. Much of the report was redacted.

A number of court cases turn on the contents of the report. Given that the war crimes committed by Australian troops against civilians in another country, why hasn’t the matter been referred to the International Criminal Court (ICC) in the Hague? The ICC is the first and only permanent international court with jurisdiction to prosecute individuals for war crimes. But the Australian government will not permit that, it wishes to contain their failure of embarking on a war of revenge for 9/11 at the request of the US government.

In 1968 there was a massacre at Mỹ Lai village in Vietnam where the Nixon government pardoned a guilty officer, Lieutenant William Calley. Colin Powell, then an major, helped the US army cover up the massacre. Powell later became US secretary of state and lied to the UN claiming that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction. He did so to justify the 2003 Iraq war. Millions died as a result of his government’s lies.

Will an Australian government or courts end up doing the same. Will they let off the highly decorated Ben Roberts-Smith or the others accused of the murders of thirty-nine (39) Afghan civilians. These war crimes were identified by the Brereton Inquiry perpetrated by twenty-five (25) Australian soldiers mainly from the Special Air Services regiment (SASR). The Brereton Inquiry was instigated in response to the video evidence of murders after the ADF and successive governments tried to cover up the massacre of prisoners, farmers, civilians and unarmed people by Australian soldiers in Afghanistan.

The cover-up was done (in part) by the Attorney General taking criminal proceedings against McBride in 2017 that could lead to his life imprisonment. McBride is due to go to trial in May 2021. Australian governments stood behind a wall of secrecy erected by the SAS inside the defence forces.

Belatedly the Scott Morrison government has claimed clean hands yet they continue to prosecute David McBride, Witness K and his lawyer Bernard Collaery. The Morrison government refuses to stand up to US attempts to extradite Julian Assange to face life imprisonment for releasing evidence of war crimes in Iraq and Afghanistan. Yet allegations of a cover-up keep coming up. Nick Xenophon (McBride’s lawyer) on the ABC’s Q & A stated:

It (McBride’s complaints about war crimes) went up the chain of command, including to the Major General [David] Hurley now — the Governor-General. He then went to the Australian Federal Police and made a formal complaint, that was ignored.” – on ABC’s Q & A Jun 22, 2020

The various court cases affected by the release of the much redacted Brereton Inquiry are summarised below:

(1) Potential criminal charges in the Federal Court against the SASR soldiers that carried out the murders of unarmed civilians in Afghanistan as shown on national TV programs such as the ABC’s Four Corners;

(2) A defamation case taken out by a soldier accused of war crimes. “Mr Roberts-Smith, a former Special Air Service soldier and Victoria Cross recipient, is suing The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald over reports he allegedly committed murder on deployments to Afghanistan and that he punched a woman in the face in Canberra.” – Sydney Morning Herald.

Mr Ben Roberts-Smith is suing various media outlets and certain journalists for defamation for claiming that he is a war criminal. Channel 7 owner Kerry Stokes is funding Roberts-Smith’s legal expenses using the Victoria Cross as collateral.

The rival media outlets being sued by the former SAS soldier have lodged a truth defence.

(3) The criminal trial of the SAS soldier and whistle-blower, David McBride. He exposed the murders that resulted in ABC revelations known as The Afghan Files.

Mr McBride is charged with theft and three counts of breaching the Defence Act, for being a person who is a member of the defence force and communicating a plan, document or information.

He is also charged under the Crimes Act, which make it an offence for a Commonwealth official to disclose information without authorisation.

Would it be a land of peace
Near the orange light of dusk,
Where no war was ever waged for corporate gain?
Would we find the purest cause
To point our lives towards,
If I were to stay.

– Franz Dowling

Next week we hope to follow-up with an interview with defence spokesperson for the Greens, Senator Jordon Steele-John, from WA.

Listen to the whole show at

They lost their lives at Mirabad last night
Jamie died, despite first aid, 
unable to be saved
Gunshot wounds killed Sapper Larcombe
Air Vice Marshall Houston sighed
'Only 21 years old and his interpreter 
Buried according to local custom'.
               - Ian Curr, Last Train to Mirabad
Sapper Larcombe and his Partner

Playlist
Killing Joke – Seeing red
Bad Day Down – Haditha: Democracy assassinated the family here
Buffy Saint-Marie – The universal soldier
Combat Wombat – Star wars
Franz Dowling – Drone lament (demons of hell)

The American Dream

Paradigm Shift 4ZZZ fm 102.1 Fridays at Noon – November 13, 2020

This week’s Paradigm Shift features a 1965 speech by James Baldwin at the Oxford University Union where he presages the current racial crisis in the US . He accurately predicts the election of a African American President (Obama) almost down to the year but cautions us on what it may deliver.

Speakers: John Jiggens, Greg Chipp (Drug Law Reform), James Baldwin (Essayist), and Barack Obama speak about the American Dream after recent 2020 US Presidential Elections.

Or Listen at http://ondemand.4zzzfm.org.au/paradigm-shift

Playlist
The Songs of Tom Smith – The Lord is King, He knows I’m a Queen
The Peace Pilgrims – Drone Lament
Sue Monk and Sergio Aldunate – Strike the Beast Hard (from Living in the Colonies)

Image: Five Presidents (still living) at the White House for the inauguration of Barack Obama. From Left to right . George Bush (Senior), Barack Obama, George W Bush, Bill Clinton, Jimmy Carter.

Lowering Expectations

 

Paradigm Shift November 6, 2020

Lowering expectations of Democracy

1. What are our expectations of democracy?
2. Qld’s Democracy sausage by Dr John Jiggens
3. What now Labor governs?

Playlist
Andy Paine – History’s Greatest losers
Margaret Roadknight – Girls in our townPeter Hunt – Red Rock
Peter Hunt – Window
Jumping Fences – Yo Vengo a ofrecer mi corazon

Biden & Trump out poll Obama

The article “Biden risks being a lame duck president” assumes that Biden is to the left of Trump on foreign policy.

It says nothing of how anti-China Biden is.

Nor does it warn us that Biden may be a war-monger like the Clintons were. The Clintons and the Democrat’s tactics have been far more disarming because they are much more sneaky. They are highly skilled at creating the illusion they are pro-working class while stabbing workers in the back ans supporting corporate America.

Remember this poll and others like it … how wrong they were

As strange as it may seem, Trump is currently more popular than Obama ever was (70 million votes to 69.5 million).

While pundits were throwing off at Trump for being crazy and stupid – while true – they failed to tell us how big Trump’s following is in the United States. – Editor, WBT

__oOo__

Biden risks being a lame duck president

But the planet and human civilisation will be grateful

Damaged liberal hearts may briefly be lifted by the fact that Joe Biden received more votes than anyone in US presidential history — until they find out Donald Trump came in a historic second.  He even exceeded Barack Obama’s peak 2008 tally (69.5 milliion votes).  The real lesson from Tuesday’s record turnout and the continuing vote counts is that America is bitterly, energetically and almost evenly divided.

https://stmedia.stimg.co/ows_157852362758719.jpg

A President Biden would at best have an equivocal mandate. The question is what he could do with it.  The answer is much less than even he — the most moderate of Democratic contenders — would have hoped.  Barring a serious upset, Republicans will retain control of the US Senate.  Mr Biden would be lucky to push through even the incremental parts of his agenda, such as a public option for US healthcare insurance, big investments in green technology and free tuition for middle-class college students.

Tuesday night left the epoch-changing hopes of American progressives in tatters, and of course the votes are still being counted in key swing states.

There is no chance Mr Biden would be able to abolish the Senate filibuster, add new states to the US, such as Puerto Rico and the District of Columbia, or expand the size of the Supreme Court.  Should a vacancy come due in the 6-3 conservative-majority court, Mitch McConnell, the Republican Senate leader, can simply block Mr Biden’s nominee.  The best for which Mr Biden can hope is a modest stimulus package.

In the meantime he would have to contend with the current White House occupant.  If Mr Biden confronts the spectre of being a lame duck, Mr Trump threatens to invent a different version of the species — a wounded duck prone to lashing out.  The chances that Mr Trump would concede defeat are slim. He could tie up narrowly lost states in recounts and litigation for weeks. And he would be unlikely to extend the hand of co-operation during the 11 weeks of transition.

Mr Biden would have to prepare for office sight unseen.  This could have material consequences.  It is doubtful, for example, that Mr Trump would want to share records of his “operation warp speed” on the coronavirus vaccine.  The best for which Mr Biden could hope is that Mr Trump goes quietly having shredded forests of White House documents.

A Biden presidency risks being caught between two irreconcilable forces — a stubbornly entrenched Trumpian right and an embittered Democratic left. The sobering counterpoint to Mr Trump’s likely narrow defeat is that almost none of his co-conspirators met the same fate.

Lindsey Graham, the senator from South Carolina, was comfortably re-elected, as was Mr McConnell.  Democrats may well have lost seats in the House of Representatives.  The Republican newcomers are more Trumpian than Mr Trump.  One of its intake is Marjorie Taylor Greene, who is an avowed supporter of QAnon, the far-right conspiracy group.  Any chance this election would break the Republican fever, as Mr Obama once put it, has been dashed.

So what could a President Biden do?  The short answer is that he would strive to find an American middle that no longer seems to exist.  Deals struck with Mr McConnell would alienate the Democratic left.  Yet in the absence of an attempt at bipartisan co-operation, little can be accomplished.

That gives Mr McConnell the upper hand.  Some things, such as a federal coronavirus plan, can be done by executive order. Others, such as big appointments, will have to meet with Senate approval. It would be wise for a President Biden to appoint at least one or two Republicans to his cabinet. The left would hate that.

Only in foreign policy will the next president have freedom of manoeuvre. Therein lies a paradox.  US democracy has taken a reputational battering on the world stage.  The 2020 election is unlikely to reverse that.  Foreigners know that US politics is trench warfare in which each side grinds out tiny gains at great expense.  Big realignments are a thing of the past.

Yet the world would feel America’s change more than most Americans.  Mr Biden has pledged to undo half of what Mr Trump has wrought.  He would rejoin the Paris accord on climate change, the World Health Organization and possibly the Iran nuclear deal. But his chances of raising the US minimum wage would be close to zero.  Higher taxes on America’s wealthy are off the menu.  The ghost of Mr Trump would stalk a Biden America.

********************

McConnell flexing his obstructionist muscle already. Biden needs to fight fire with fire: Joan McCarter 6Nov20

Moscow Mitch McConnell is twisting his pretend moustache and rubbing his hands together in preparation for how he’s going to block everything presumed President Joe Biden wants to accomplish. And reportedly, Biden is considering ‘limiting its prospective Cabinet nominees to those who Mitch McConnell can live with, according to people familiar with the matter.’ That’s Axios reporting, so all the grains of salt.” https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/5/1992962/-McConnell-flexing-his-obstructionist-muscle-already-Biden-needs-to-fight-fire-with-fire

This Election Is Not the End of Trumpism: Barry Eidlin (Jacobin) 6Nov20

Trumpism could return with a vengeance four years from now. https://jacobinmag.com/2020/11/election-trumpism-trump-biden

In new provocative speech Trump repeats his claim that mail-in voting is a corrupt system:  9:58am AEDT 6Nov20

US President Donald Trump has repeated unsubstantiated claims that the Democrats are trying to steal the US election. In an extraordinary speech at the White House on Friday (AEDT) Mr Trump falsely claimed he has won key states that no US network has called. https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/us-news/us-election/2020/11/06/trump-claims-fraud-biden-calls-for-calm/

Trump supporters swarm Arizona election centre after his unproven claims of fraud: 6Nov20

It comes as dozens of protesters demanding all votes be counted were arrested in other parts of the country. https://www.sbs.com.au/news/armed-trump-supporters-swarm-arizona-election-centre-after-his-unproven-claims-of-fraud

Re-election hopes fading, Trump tries for an election win in the courts: Sarah John 6Nov20

The Trump campaign is launching a well-planned legal assault to challenge the validity of ballots and the process of vote-counting itself. The Biden campaign is responding with an equally well-coordinated legal defence and a grassroots fundraising effort called the ‘Biden Fight Fund’.” https://theconversation.com/re-election-hopes-fading-trump-tries-for-an-election-win-in-the-courts-149520

Edward Luce
Financial Times (Washington)
6 Nov 20

Andy on the Frontline

NEWS FROM THE FRONTLINE OCTOBER 2020

It’s been another big month here on the climate frontlines. October began with another action disrupting work on Adani’s rail corridor – writer Ben Winch locking himself to a cattle grid on the road to Adani’s site and stopping work for five hours. Ben’s action highlighted the disastrous waste of our precious water that would come from the Carmichael mine. Ben, along with Kyle Magee who last month stopped work on Adani’s coal export terminal, have both been in court this month and had their cases adjourned. We’ll keep you posted on how they go.

The powerful effect of years of resistance to Adani was shown again this month. First of all, Adani rebranded its controversial Abbot Point coal terminal as “North Queensland Export Terminal” – with a new website that doesn’t mention Adani or even coal. The port has previously been fined for environmental breaches, and in August was forced to pay $106 million to its own customers for “deliberate dishonest behaviour”. The rebrand shows Adani’s name is now so toxic that even the company itself won’t use it.

Those effects were being felt by insurance companies too. The most recent corporate target of the Stop Adani movement has been insurance giant Lloyd’s of London, and this month one of its companies Apollo Underwriting announced it would not be continuing to insure Adani beyond its current contract. That brings the number of companies who have announced they will not work with Adani to 89 (and counting!)

We know people all over Australia have been taking action against Adani, and we’ve seen the way companies in London and across the world have been taking notice. We should also highlight that in India, there have been huge and consistent protests against many of Adani’s damaging projects there. Most recently, in the last few days thousands of people in Goa blocked a rail line to stop the expansion of Adani’s coal port and transportation there.

Also this month, folks at Camp Binbee joined in with people around the world in the Big Canopy Campout – celebrating native forests and the hardworking people who are defending them from logging and deforestation. 

Check out our video from the campout here. Later in the month we were reminded of the need to protect those trees, when the Victorian government cut down several beautiful trees that are sacred to the Djab Wurrung First Nations people – as part of a highway upgrade designed to save motorists a few minutes. After a determined blockade, a court injunction has been taken out against the work. FLAC stands with the Djab Wurrung people in that struggle.

The struggle for climate justice takes many forms, and one is the realm of arts and culture. I’m sure we can all point to books, films and songs that have impacted how we view the world; so it is exciting to see people making powerful art about current environmental issues and the courageous and creative work being done in response. October saw the premiere of the documentary Wild Things, which features Frontline Action on Coal amongst others around Australia taking action to protect our planet. There will be more opportunities to see it, watch the trailer here.

This Sunday November 8th we are excited for the premiere of another film,Forest Defenders. It is about the struggle to protect Tasmania’s ancient forests, and is the result of the hard work of some of our talented FLAC friends. Tune in with us for the screening on Sunday.

Also, the classic FLAC compilation album Rock’n’Roll for Blockin’ Coal finally went up on spotify and other streaming services this month. You can still buy an mp3 download here, but now you can also enjoy streaming it on whichever platform you prefer.

https://frontlineactiononcoal.bandcamp.com/track/feraliza-like-it-or-not

October ended with a Queensland election. Sadly, unlike the last two state elections, there were no promises from either major party to hold Adani to account, and climate action was rarely a part of the campaigning from either. Though the state can breathe a sigh of relief that we at least still have a government that believes in climate change, we know the change we really need will only come from everyday people taking what action we can to stand up for what’s right. With state borders beginning to reopen, we invite people to join us in central Queensland and help protect our climate and all that relies on it. See you on the frontlines!

Andy and the crew at Camp Binbee 🙂
Frontline Action on Coal
frontlineaction.org

Frontline Action on Coal acknowledges elders, past present and future. We respect the communication protocols and the important role of Elders in culture and heritage protection advice. We recognise and respect cultural heritage, beliefs, customs and the continuing relationship and responsibility to traditional land and water and day and night sky. We acknowledge that they are of continuing importance to the people living today and future generations, and stand in solidarity with First Nations people in their continuing struggle for justice.

Meredith Burgmann – ‘cutting cane for the revolution in Cuba’

Welcome to the Paradigm Shift on FM 102.1 4ZZZ Fridays at noon.

Interviews with :-

John Jiggens – independent candidate for South Brisbane in Qld State Election 31 October 2020 talks about drug law reform.

Meredith Burgmann talks about her coming book (with Nadia Wheatley) ‘Radicals – Remembering the 60s‘ published by NewSouth Press.

Listen at http://ondemand.4zzzfm.org.au/paradigm-shift

We challenge the assumptions of our current society, to resist oppression and investigate alternative ways of living for a world based on justice, solidarity and sustainability.

Podcasts are at https://soundcloud.com/ian-curr

Follow the Paradigm Shift on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/PShiftonZed/

Program Notes and playlists are at https://pshift4zzz.wordpress.com/

Many Mountains to Climb

swimming in shark sea
looking for memory
in pink early light
between devil deep
and wide blue sea

— from 
Strange Fruit
by ian curr

Julian’s Legacy & Covid Concert

Paradigm Shift 9 Oct 2020 Friday 12:00 – 1:00 PM 4ZZZ fm 102.1

Welcome to the Paradigm Shift on FM 102.1 4ZZZ Fridays at noon. We challenge the assumptions of our current society, to resist oppression …more

Part I – Assange Summary by John Jiggens and Ciaron O’Reilly looks at Julian’s Legacy.

Part II – Covid Concert thanks to Jumping Fences (Sue Monk & Lachlan Hurse) and Estamos Contigo ( Enid Rosales & Erick Sanchez).

Listen at http://ondemand.4zzzfm.org.au/paradigm-shift

Image: The Big Riders climb Binna Burra and look out to see Mt Warning.
Photo: Lachlan Hurse.

Playlist
Estamos Contigo – Brisa Pasajera
Andy Paine – The Politics of Possibility
Jumping Fences – Satellites
Fabio Rodriges and Allie Sherlock – Billi Jean

News at Noon (Zedlines)

Donald Trump refuses virtual second presidential debate

11:25AM

US President Donald Trump refused to participate in a virtual second presidential debate with Democratic nominee Joe Biden following his coronavirus diagnosis.

Spokesperson for the Democratic party Kate Bedingfield said the debate should be rescheduled to October 22nd so the ‘President is not able to evade accountability’. 

In the meantime, Mr Biden will take questions from voters in a town hall event on October 15th, the same night the second debate was originally scheduled. 



Background on Covid

Swedish/Oz response

‘It’s been so, so surreal.’ Critics of Sweden’s lax pandemic policies face fierce backlash

Science’s COVID-19 reporting is supported by the Pulitzer Center and the Heising-Simons Foundation.

On 5 April, Anders Tegnell, chief epidemiologist for the Swedish public health authority, sent an email to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) expressing concern about proposed new advice that face masks worn in public could slow the spread of the pandemic coronavirus. “We would like to warn against the publication of this advice,” Tegnell wrote. How much people without symptoms contribute to spread was a “question that remains unanswered,” he wrote, and the advice “would also imply that the spread is airborne, which would seriously harm further communication and trust among the population and health care workers.”

On 8 April, ECDC published its recommendations anyway, in line with an emerging scientific consensus. Although questions remained, “use of face masks in the community could be considered,” it said, “especially when visiting busy, closed spaces.” Tegnell still disagrees. “We have looked very carefully. The evidence is weak,” he told Science. “Countries that have masks are not doing the best right now. It is very dangerous to try to believe that masks are a silver bullet.”

Sweden’s approach to the coronavirus pandemic is out of step with much of the world. The government never ordered a “shutdown” and kept day care centers and primary schools open. While cities worldwide turned into ghost towns, Swedes could be seen chatting in cafés and working out at the gym. The contrast evoked both admiration and alarm in other countries, with journalists and experts debating whether the strategy was brilliant—or whether Tegnell, its main architect, had lost the plot.

Yet Sweden adopted strikingly different policies from those of other European countries, out of a desire to avoid disrupting daily life—and perhaps the hope that, by paying an immediate price in illness, the country could achieve “herd immunity” and put the pandemic behind it.

Swedish authorities actively discouraged people from wearing face masks, which they said would spread panic, are often worn the wrong way, and can provide a false sense of safety. Some doctors who insisted on wearing a mask at work have been reprimanded or even fired.

Until last month, Sweden’s official policy stated people without obvious symptoms are very unlikely to spread the virus. So instead of being quarantined or asked to stay home, family members, colleagues, and classmates of confirmed cases had to attend school and show up for work, unless they had symptoms themselves. Testing in Sweden still lags behind many other countries, and in many districts infected people are expected to notify their own contacts—in contrast to, say, Germany and Norway, where small armies of contact tracers help track down people who may have been exposed.

The Swedish approach has its fans. Protesters against coronavirus-related restrictions in Berlin in late August waved Swedish flags. In the United States, a prominent member of President Donald Trump’s coronavirus task force, neuroradiologist Scott Atlas, has cited Sweden as a model to follow. The policies also have widespread public support in Sweden, where consensus is prized and criticism of the government is rare.

But within Sweden’s scientific and medical community, a debate about the strategy has simmered and frequently boiled over—in the opinion pages of newspapers, within university departments, and among hospital staff. A group of scientists known as “the 22” has called for tougher measures since April, when it published a blistering critique of the country’s public health authority, the Folkhälsomyndigheten (FoHM). The group, which has grown to include 50 scientists and another 150 supporting members, now calls itself the Vetenskapsforum COVID-19 (Science Forum COVID-19).

Lena Einhorn (left) is a member of the Vetenskapsforum COVID-19, a group that has harshly criticized policies championed by Sweden’s chief epidemiologist, Anders Tegnell (upper right), and his predecessor, Johan Giesecke (lower right). (clockwise from left) Astrid Eriksson Tropp/CC 3.0; ANDERS WIKLUND/TT News Agency/AFP via Getty Images; IBL/Shutterstock

It says the price for Sweden’s laissez-faire approach has been too high. The country’s cumulative death rate since the beginning of the pandemic rivals that of the United States, with its shambolic response. And the virus took a shocking toll on the most vulnerable. It had free rein in nursing homes, where nearly 1000 people died in a matter of weeks. Stockholm’s nursing homes ended up losing 7% of their 14,000 residents to the virus. The vast majority were not taken to hospitals. Although infections waned over the summer, scientists worry a new wave will hit in the fall. Cases are rising rapidly in the greater Stockholm area, where almost one-quarter of the Swedish population lives.

The group’s criticism has not been welcomed—indeed, some of the critics say they have been pilloried or reprimanded. “It has been so, so surreal,” says Nele Brusselaers, a member of the Vetenskapsforum and a clinical epidemiologist at the prestigious Karolinska Institute (KI). It is strange, she says, to face backlash “even though we are saying just what researchers internationally are saying. It’s like it’s a different universe.”

Lena Einhorn paid close attention in January to the news of a new virus spreading in Wuhan, China. Einhorn, who has an M.D./Ph.D. in virology and tumor biology, is better known in Sweden as a filmmaker and book author. “But I can still read a scientific paper,” she says. And what she read in The Lancet on 31 January was alarming: A model predicted large outbreaks of the new virus in cities around the world. As far as she could see, nothing was being done in Sweden to get ready for the threat.

Concerned, she wrote an email to Tegnell. “I asked, ‘Have you seen this paper? Isn’t it time we prepare for this?’” Tegnell answered immediately, Einhorn says: “He basically said, ‘Well, we shall see. Everyone is trying to apply complex models to very limited data.’” She wrote back emphasizing how easily the virus seemed to spread, including from people without obvious symptoms, and asked about restricting travel from China. Tegnell noted that the World Health Organization (WHO) opposed such measures, she says, then stopped responding. So Einhorn approached Björn Olsen, a professor of infectious diseases at Uppsala University who was raising the alarm in interviews. “What can we do?” she says she asked Olsen.

In late February, during the school holidays, thousands of families went skiing in the Alps—just as reports surfaced about an outbreak in northern Italy. Many had asked whether they should stay home, but health authorities “kept saying, ‘No, don’t cancel your trip!’” Einhorn says. “It was the middle of that week when the cases in the Italian Alps went boom.” As vacationers returned, many asked whether they should quarantine, but FoHM maintained there was no reason to worry.

When 30,000 music fans gathered in a Stockholm arena on 7 March for the national final of the Eurovision Song Contest, “I’m going bonkers,” Einhorn says. “I can’t sit still.” She reached out to a journalist friend and started to write op-eds. Olsen linked her to “a group of desperate scientists,” she says. “Suddenly I’m in the middle of an email thread of infectious disease specialists, virologists, epidemiologists,” all extremely worried.

On 12 March, as new cases outpaced test capacity, FoHM announced doctors should only test those with severe symptoms, recalls KI immunologist Cecilia Söderberg Nauclér. “I turned to my husband and said, ‘They are letting it loose. We are going to crash the health system. We are going to need 500 ICU [intensive care unit] beds and we have 90 in Stockholm.’” On the same day, Norway closed schools, many businesses, and its borders, mirroring measures across Europe.

On 15 March, Olsen, Nauclér, and five others warned in an opinion piece in the Svenska Dagbladet newspaper that Sweden was just a few weeks behind Italy, where hospitals were already overflowing. Nauclér says she reached Tegnell by phone the next day and told him, “I don’t want to argue with you, but you shouldn’t be doing what you’re doing unless you have data that I don’t know about.” She says they had a good conversation and Tegnell agreed to a meeting, but it never happened.

The next week, Tegnell announced Sweden would try to “flatten the curve” so the health system would not get overwhelmed with cases. The government limited gatherings to a maximum of 500 people, but day care and schools through ninth grade stayed open. (Upper secondary schools and universities went online.) People should work from home if possible, FoHM said, but tests remained very limited, and close contacts of suspected cases were not asked to stay home unless they had symptoms.

Unwelcome distinction

One measure of COVID-19’s impact, excess mortality, was far higher in Sweden than in neighboring countries and Germany, but not as high as in England and Wales. –50 0 50 100 150 200 1 March 1 April 1 May 1 June 1 July Sweden Norway England & Wales Germany Denmark Excess deaths per milion (Graphic) X. Liu/Science; (Data) The Human Mortality Database, U.K. Office for National Statistics

Soon, infections surged. By late March, more than 30 COVID-19 patients were being admitted to ICUs every day. By early April, Sweden was recording about 90 deaths from the virus daily—a significant undercount, critics say, because many died without getting tested. Hospitals did not become as overwhelmed as those in northern Italy or New York City, but that was in part because many severely ill patients weren’t hospitalized. A 17 March directive to Stockholm area hospitals stated patients older than 80 or with a body mass index above 40 should not be admitted to intensive care, because they were less likely to recover. Most nursing homes were not equipped to administer oxygen, so many residents instead received morphine to alleviate their suffering. Newspaper reports told stories of people who died after being turned away from emergency rooms because they were deemed too young to suffer serious COVID-19 complications.

On 25 March, as confirmed cases passed 300 per day, about 2000 scientists signed an open letter calling for stricter control measures. It provoked little reaction. But a scathing op-ed, published by the 22 researchers in the newspaper Dagens Nyheter on 14 April, did get noticed. The piece carried the headline “The public health agency has failed. Politicians must intervene.” It noted that from 7 to 9 April, more people per million inhabitants had died in Sweden from COVID-19 than in Italy—and 10 times more than in Finland. FoHM officials “have so far not shown any talent for either predicting or limiting” the epidemic, they wrote.

The response was swift. A cascade of columnists and opinion writers criticized the piece for its tone and said the 22 got their numbers wrong. Tegnell said the authors “were not leaders in their field” and claimed they “cherrypicked” days with the highest death tolls. (The scientists replied they had used ECDC statistics and noted there were even more deaths the next week.) The response to the op-ed was “insane,” says co-author Jan Lötvall, an allergist at the University of Gothenburg. “A colleague emailed me to say [the article] was shameful, and that we should be loyal and follow the tradition of respecting public health workers.”

The frontal attack violated one of Sweden’s strongest cultural norms, the taboo on open disagreement, says Andrew Ewing, an analytical chemist at the University of Gothenburg who moved to Sweden from the United States 13 years ago. If a disagreement does arise, “you can never make it personal,” says Ewing, who was not part of the original 22 but has since joined the Vetenskapsforum.

“When the debate started, harsh words were exchanged,” says Göran Hansson, a cardiac specialist at KI and secretary general of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. But the debate is important, he adds. “Maybe Sweden has too much of a consensus culture. … It’s healthy for science to have discussions. One thing we don’t need in this situation is silencing of views, especially from those with expertise.”

Healthy or not, Brusselaers says she also faced backlash from colleagues and was publicly reprimanded by her department chair for being a “troublemaker” and “a danger to society.” “A colleague told me, ‘We have to stick with [FoHM] and defend it,’” she says. The situation prompted her to return to her native Belgium, where she now has a position at the University of Antwerp, although she is also keeping her group at KI. “I just didn’t expect this reaction in Sweden,” she says. “I never felt like such a foreigner as I did over the past few months.”

Those who challenged the recommendations against face masks faced a similar backlash. Agnieszka Howoruszko, an ophthalmologist at a regional hospital in Landskrona, began to wear a mask in March when she examined patients. “My manager reprimanded me twice,” she says. Howoruszko held her ground. “I said, ‘I’m sorry, if I can’t wear it, I cannot work. Many of my patients are elderly and in high-risk groups.” The manager relented and allowed the clinic’s doctors (but not other staff) to wear masks. “We are the only eye clinic in our province” to take that step, she says.

Dorota Szlosowska, a pulmonologist who had been working at Sundsvall regional hospital, shared an email with Science stating that one of the reasons her contract wasn’t renewed was that “she walked around with a mask,” which the email said made her look unfriendly and made it hard for patients to understand her. Björn Lindström, an ophthalmologist at Falu lasarett, a hospital in central Sweden, says he is the only one in his clinic who wears a mask. In a letter in Dagens Nyheter, Lindström has argued that the failure of health care workers to adopt masks violates Sweden’s patient safety act, meant to prevent patients from being harmed while receiving care.

Harm seems to have occurred. The Falu lasarett announced last week that it had been fighting a COVID-19 outbreak in its cardiac ward for 3 weeks, with 10 patients and 12 staff infected so far. As of 27 September, staff will “use protective visors when working closely with patients,” the hospital said. The Swedish Health and Social Care Inspectorate told Science it is investigating 17 hospital and clinic-based outbreaks. In September, Ryhov community hospital in Jönköping announced 20 patients and 40 staff members had been infected in an outbreak in the hospital’s orthopedic ward in May. Five patients died and one is still hospitalized. (The hospital said it had followed FoHM’s policies.) At least three patients have reportedly died of COVID-19 after being infected at the university hospital in Lund.

young children on a playground

FoHM’s decision to keep schools open despite surging cases may also have added to the spread. A report from the agency itself, released in July, compared Sweden with Finland, which closed its schools between March and May, and concluded that “closing of schools had no measurable effect on the number of cases of COVID-19 in children.” But few Swedish children were tested in that period, even if they had COVID-19 symptoms. And the lack of contact tracing means there are no data about whether cases spread in schools or not. When new FoHM guidelines allowed symptomatic children to be tested in June, cases in children shot up—from fewer than 20 per week in late May to more than 100 in the second week of June. (FoHM reversed course in July and returned to recommending that children under 16 not be tested.)

Indirect data suggest children in Sweden were infected far more often than their Finnish counterparts. The FoHM report says 14 Swedish kids were admitted to intensive care with COVID-19, versus one in Finland, which has roughly half as many schoolchildren. In Sweden, at least 70 children have been diagnosed with multisystem inflammatory syndrome, a rare complication of COVID-19, versus fewer than five in Finland.

In the population as a whole, the impact of Sweden’s approach is unmistakable. More than 94,000 people have so far been diagnosed with COVID-19, and at least 5895 have died. The country has seen roughly 590 deaths per million—on par with 591 per million in the United States and 600 in Italy, but many times the 50 per million in Norway, 108 in Denmark, and 113 in Germany.

Another way to measure the pandemic’s impact is to look at “excess deaths,” the difference between the number of people who died this year and average deaths in earlier years. Those curves show Sweden did not suffer as many excess deaths as England and Wales—whose tolls were among Europe’s highest—but many more than Germany and its Nordic neighbors (see graphic, above). Immigrant communities were hit very hard. Between March and September, 111 people from Somalia and 247 from Syria died, compared with 5-year averages of 34 and 93, respectively.

Tegnell has said repeatedly that the Swedish strategy takes a holistic view of public health, aiming to balance the risk of the virus with the damage from countermeasures like closed schools. The goal was to protect the elderly and other high-risk groups while slowing viral spread enough to avoid hospitals being overwhelmed. Protecting the economy was not the aim, he says. (Initial data suggest Sweden’s economy contracted about as much as its immediate neighbors’ as exports and consumer spending dropped.)

Sweden’s light approach is more sustainable than the harsher methods used in other countries, Tegnell also argues. He regrets the death toll in nursing homes, he told Science, and says Sweden should have made it easier financially for caregivers to stay home. “It was a very bad situation for a month,” he says, “but after that it changed completely.” Once strong restrictions were in place, transmission in nursing homes “became lower than in the community.” Tegnell has also said he suspects the number of infections and deaths in other countries will eventually match Sweden’s. Einhorn finds this absurd: “If Norway ever catches up to Sweden in the proportion of people killed by COVID-19,” she says, “I’ll eat my hat.”

A senior couple dines separately from the rest of their family on 18 April in Östersund, Sweden. The Swedish government never ordered a lockdown, but many citizens reduced their contacts anyway, data suggest. David Lidstrom/Getty Images

Many of Tegnell’s critics say FoHM had an unspoken agenda: to reach herd immunity. Sweden wouldn’t be the only country to consider that strategy: British Prime Minister Boris Johnson toyed with the idea before rejecting it (and contracting COVID-19 himself). Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte explicitly said achieving herd immunity would help protect the economy before also abandoning the idea.

Herd immunity is still not well understood, but scientists estimate that in the case of COVID-19, between 40% and 70% of a population would have to be immune to arrest the spread of the virus. Many scientists say reaching that percentage without the help of a vaccine would cause far too many deaths and long-term side effects.

Tegnell has consistently denied that herd immunity is his goal. But emails released in late July after journalists requested them under open records laws show he discussed the idea. In an exchange on 14 and 15 March with the head of Finland’s public health agency, Tegnell speculated that “one point would be to keep schools open to reach herd immunity faster.” When the Finnish colleague said models suggested closing schools would decrease infection rates among the elderly by 10%, Tegnell replied: “Ten percent might be worth it?” (Tegnell says he was only speculating, and the prospect of reaching herd immunity was irrelevant to the decision to keep schools open.)

Tegnell’s thinking appears to have been shaped by his predecessor, Johan Giesecke, an epidemiologist and professor emeritus at KI with whom he exchanged many emails. Giesecke has been a vocal defender of FoHM’s strategy, which he praised in a 5 May article in The Lancet. He said the virus was “an invisible pandemic” in which 98% to 99% of infected people don’t realize they have been infected. “Our most important task is not to stop spread, which is all but futile, but to concentrate on giving the unfortunate victims optimal care,” he wrote. (Giesecke stated he did not have any conflicts of interest, but his correspondence with Tegnell revealed he had been a paid consultant for FoHM since March. Giesecke told Science he sees no conflict.)

Giesecke, a member of WHO’s Strategic and Technical Advisory Group for Infectious Hazards, is still advising a similar approach to governments elsewhere. On 23 September, he told an Irish parliamentary committee that Ireland should aim for “controlled spread” in people under age 60 and “tolerable spread” among those over age 60, though in a later interview he backed off, saying Ireland had to decide policies for itself.

Giesecke and Tegnell believed herd immunity would arrive quickly. In the Lancet article, Giesecke claimed about 21% of residents of Stockholm county had already been infected by the end of April; Tegnell predicted 40% of them would have antibodies by the end of May. When initial studies showed the number was actually about 6% in late May, Tegnell said immunity was hard to measure. FoHM continued to say Swedes had built up immunity, but in September it backtracked, estimating that “just under 12%” of Stockholm residents, and 6% to 8% of the Swedish population as a whole, had antibodies to the virus by mid-June.

If herd immunity is beginning to kick in, it should become visible in Sweden’s case numbers. Cases fell from a record 1698 on 24 June to about 200 per day in early September, and the percentage of positive tests reached a record low of 1.2%. Some speculate that Sweden’s summer traditions may have helped: Hundreds of thousands leave cities and towns for remote cabins in what amounts to 3 months of national social distancing.

At the time, numbers elsewhere in Europe were beginning to soar again, especially among young adults, whereas those in Sweden remained stable. But over the past few weeks, infections in Sweden have started to rise as well. On 25 September, FoHM reported 633 new cases nationwide in 1 day. Stockholm’s rates have nearly tripled in 2 weeks, from 334 in the second week of September to 967 last week. Whether immunity is making a big difference remains to be seen.

The Swedish experiment is coming to an end, as its policies fall in line with those of its neighbors. FoHM officials are “quietly changing their approach,” Einhorn says. The country has boosted test rates; at roughly two tests per 1000 inhabitants per day, Sweden’s testing rate is almost on par with Norway’s—although it is only one-quarter of Denmark’s. The recommendation against testing children between ages 6 and 16 was lifted for a second time in September. (FoHM says this is so children with mild symptoms can return to school more quickly if their test is negative.) Children under 6 are still not tested unless severely ill.

The drop in cases allows Sweden to start to use its contact tracing system, in place for other diseases, for COVID-19, Tegnell says: “Before, we just didn’t have the capacity.” And on 1 October, FoHM announced family members of confirmed cases should stay home for 7 days, even if they don’t have any symptoms—although children through ninth grade should still go to school.

FoHM should go much further, Hansson and a colleague said said in an August opinion piece, for instance by limiting public transport to 50% capacity, recommending masks, and asking travelers from hard-hit regions abroad and all contacts of known cases to quarantine. On 25 September, Hansson announced the Royal Swedish Academy had assembled an expert group to compare the Swedish response with that of other countries and recommend how “researchers can best contribute to future crisis situations.”

FoHM “should have listened more carefully to the scientific community both inside and outside the country,” Hansson says. Still, he predicts the rifts will eventually heal. “I am sure we will continue to argue, but I don’t see permanent damage,” he says. “We’ll move on. We’ll go back to complaining about grants.”

But Ewing worries the fight has left permanent scars. He says at least three more members of the Vetenskapsforum are considering leaving Sweden, as Brusselaers did. And even if it turns out that the country has built up enough immunity to evade a new wave of disease, he says, the price has been too high. “I worry that countries around the world are going to say, ‘We can try what Sweden did.’ But we have killed too many people already.”

Gretchen Vogel
in Science
October 2020

Assange on ‘Desolation Row’ at the Old Bailey

Paradigm Shift 2 October 2020

Latest report from John Jiggens about the Assange Extradition hearing (now in its 5th week) at the Old Bailey in London. Note that it is assumed in the report that Assange will not get a fair trial should he be extradited to the U.S.
[ You can listen to the full show at https://soundcloud.com/ian-curr/assange-on-desolation-row-at-the-old-bailey ]

Nils Melzer, the UN Rapporteur on Torture has described the treatment of Julian Assange by the governments of the UK, the US and Sweden as torture. Nonetheless, Melzer has been ignored by these governments and the Australian government too.  

John Jiggens (Bay FM) interview with Ciaron O’Reilly about Julian Assange

Much of the past week at Assange’s extradition hearing in the Old Bailey has been concerned with the deteriorating state of Assange’s mental health, following his seven-and-a-half years forced detention in the Ecuadorian Embassy and the further year-and-a-half confinement in Belmarsh Prison and the further deterioration his mental health would suffer if he were extradited. 

The Defence has argued Assange would be exposed to further torture in the US prison system from a secretive form of extreme isolation in U.S. federal prisons – Special Administrative Measures (SAMs) – that prohibit prisoners who live under them from contact or communication with all but a handful of approved individuals. Prisoners subjected to this describe the experience as like living in a world by yourself, in which they have almost no human contact. Many of those on SAMs have developed mental health issues as a result of the isolation.  

To counter this, the prosecution has relied on the argument that Assange is simply malingering. 

The maximum security prison in Florence, Colorado, is where the US intends to incarcerate Julian Assange when he is convicted. Bay FM reporter Dr John Jiggens spoke with Ciaron O’Reilly, Assange supporter and Ploughshares activist, about Florence, his experience in the US prison system and the normalisation of torture in the US under the War on Terror. 

John Jiggens (Bay FM)

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